India is likely to receive above-normal rainfall amounting to 108 per cent of the long-period average (LPA) in June, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday.
According to the IMD, quantitatively, the southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 106% of the LPA with a model error of ±4%, indicating that above normal rainfall is most likely over the country as a whole during the monsoon season (June to September), 2025.
The average rainfall for the country as a whole during June 2025 is most likely to be above normal (>108% of the LPA), IMD said in a release.
The southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September, 2025) rainfall is most likely to be above normal over Central India and South Peninsular India (>106% of LPA), normal over Northwest India (92-108% of LPA) and below normal over Northeast India (<94% of LPA).
The southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the Monsoon Core Zone (MCZ) consisting of most of the rainfed agriculture areas in the country is most likely to be above normal (>106% of LPA).
During June to September 2025, normal to above normal rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country except some areas of Northwest and East India and many areas of Northeast India where below normal rainfall is very likely.
IMD said, “During June 2025, Normal to above normal monthly rainfall is very likely over most parts of the country, except some southern parts of peninsular India and parts of Northwest and Northeast India, where below normal rainfall is likely.”
In June 2025, normal to below normal monthly maximum temperatures are likely over most parts of the country, except many regions of the Northwest India and Northeast India, where above normal temperatures are very likely. Above-normal monthly minimum temperatures are likely across most parts of the country, except some parts of Central India and adjoining south Peninsula where, where normal to below-normal minimum temperatures are very likely.
Currently, neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region. The latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS) as well as other climate model forecasts indicate that the neutral ENSO conditions are likely to continue during the monsoon season.
