SOFTS-Raw Sugar Slumps To 8-1/2-Month Low On Record India Output Forecast

Image Credits: Bloomberg L.P.

NEW YORK/LONDON, March 7 (Reuters) – Raw sugar futures on ICE sank 5 percent to an 8-1/2-month low on Wednesday, on an estimate for record production in No. 2 grower India, while London cocoa extended gains to a one-year high and reached the most technically overbought levels in a decade.

SUGAR
* May raw sugar settled down 0.66 cent, or 4.9 percent, at 12.79 cents per lb, after falling to the lowest since June at 12.76 cents.

* This was the spot contractโ€™s biggest one-day tumble since April.

* The contract opened and remained below the prior session low to form a gap in the chart, which has the potential to send technically bearish signals, traders said.

* โ€œSugar is down on news that ISMA (Indian Sugar Mills Association) raised their forecast significantly for Indian production,โ€ said James Cassidy, global head of Sugar Derivatives for Societe Generale in New York.

* The ISMA raised its 2017/18 India sugar production forecast to a record 29.5 million tonnes, up nearly 13 percent from a previous estimate.

* โ€œThis report is bearish because many traders were expecting ISMA to raise their production estimate to only 28.5 million or so,โ€ Cassidy said.

* May white sugar settled down $12.20, or 3.3 percent, at $354.10 per tonne.

COCOA
* May London cocoa closed flat at 1,727 pounds per tonne after rising to 1,741 pounds, the highest for the second position since March 2017.

* The second-position contract held near 87 on the Relative Strength Index, matching Tuesday and the most technically overbought level since 2008.

* The March premium over May LCCH8-K8 matched the prior sessionโ€™s contract high of 24 pounds, while the May discount to July LCCK8-N8 narrowed to 7 pounds, matching the prior sessionโ€™s highest level since November 2016.

* Expectations for rising demand, and a lowering of forecasts for the crop in top grower Ivory Coast as well as the global surplus, helped support prices, dealers said.

* May New York cocoa settled up $2, or 0.1 percent, at $2,443 per tonne, hovering below Tuesdayโ€™s 16-month high of $2,471.

* ICE Futures U.S. raised the initial cocoa margins for specs by 30.4 percent to $1,500 per contract from $1,150.

COFFEE
* Robusta coffee futures continued to lack a clear overall trend with May closing up $8, or 0.5 percent, at $1,785 per tonne.

* May arabica coffee settled down 0.5 cent, or 0.4 percent, at $1.2075 per lb. (Reporting by Marcy Nicholson in New York and Nigel Hunt in London Editing by David Goodman, Adrian Croft and Susan Thomas)

SOURCEReuters

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